Colonic adenomas found via colonoscopy: Yield and risk factors for high-grade dysplasia

Background and Aims: The adenoma-carcinoma sequence is the model for colorectal carcinoma (CRC) developing through high-grade dysplasia (HGD) to CRC. The aim was to assess prevalence and location of adenomas found during colonoscopy and risk factors for HGD. Material and Methods: A population-based study using all colonoscopies and polyp specimens registered between 2000 and 2004 in Iceland. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to assess independent risk factors for HGD. Results: A total of 3,315 adenomas were removed from 2,385 patients. Only 14.0% were >1 cm in size. HGD was found in 135 (4.1%) of the adenomas and tubulovillous/villous histology in 15.0%. The prevalence of adenomas in the 50- to 69-year age group was 15.5%, and 21.5% in the ≥70-year group. 60.9% of them were located distal to the splenic flexure. Independent risk factors for HGD were in the order of importance: size; multiplicity; tubulovillous/villous histology; location in rectum, and age. The prevalence of HGD in the group with an adenoma size of 0.6-1.0 cm was 4.1% and in the 40- to 69-year age group it was 3.7%. Conclusion: The study suggests a potential 15% yield per colonoscopy of adenomas in 50- to 69-year-olds. There is an appreciable risk of HGD in diminutive polyps and in middle age.