Prevalence of smoldering multiple myeloma based on nationwide screening

Sigrún Þorsteinsdóttir, Gauti Kjartan Gíslason, Thor Aspelund, Sæmundur Rögnvaldsson, Jón Þórir Óskarsson, Guðrún Ásta Sigurðardóttir, Ásdís Rósa Þórðardóttir, Brynjar Viðarsson, Páll Torfi Önundarson, Bjarni Agnar Agnarsson, Margrét Sigurðardóttir, Ingunn Þorsteinsdóttir, Ísleifur Ólafsson, Elías Sæbjörn Eyþórsson, Ásbjörn Jónsson, Oscar Berlanga, Malin Hulcrantz, Brian G.M. Durie, Þorvarður Jón Löve, Stephen HardingOla Landgren, Sigurður Yngvi Kristinsson

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Smoldering multiple myeloma (SMM) is an asymptomatic precursor to multiple myeloma. Here we define the epidemiological characteristics of SMM in the general population in Iceland. The iStopMM study (ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT03327597) is a nationwide screening study for multiple myeloma precursors where all residents in Iceland 40 years or older were invited to participate. SMM was defined as 10–60% bone marrow plasma cells and/or monoclonal (M) protein concentration ≥3 g dl−1, in the absence of myeloma-defining events. Of the 80,759 who gave informed consent to participate, 75,422 (93%) were screened. The prevalence of SMM in the total population was 0.53% (95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.49–0.57%) in individuals 40 years or older. In men and women, the prevalence of SMM was 0.67% (95% CI = 0.62–0.73%) and 0.39% (95% CI = 0.35–0.43%), respectively; it increased with age in both sexes. For the 193 individuals with SMM, median age was 70 years (range 44–92 years) and 60% were males. The mean M protein concentration of individuals with SMM was 0.62 g dl−1 (range 0.01–3.5 g dl−1) and 73% had 11–20% bone marrow plasma cell infiltration. The high prevalence of SMM has implications for future treatment policies in multiple myeloma as the evidence supporting treatment initiation at the SMM stage is emerging.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)467-472
Number of pages6
JournalNature Medicine
Volume29
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 6 Feb 2023

Bibliographical note

Funding Information: The iStopMM study is funded by the Black Swan Research Initiative by the International Myeloma Foundation and the Icelandic Centre for Research (grant no. 173857). This project also received funding from the European Research Council under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program (grant no. 716677), the International Myeloma Society, the Paula and Rodger Riney Foundation Translational Research Award and the Leukemia & Lymphoma Society Career Development Program Scholar in Clinical Research Award. Screening tests were performed by The Binding Site. Additional funding was provided by the University of Iceland, Landspítali University Hospital and the Icelandic Cancer Society. The funders had no role in study design, data collection, data analysis, data interpretation or manuscript writing. We thank all the participants in the iStopMM study. Publisher Copyright: © 2023, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature America, Inc.

Other keywords

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Disease Progression
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Middle Aged
  • Multiple Myeloma/therapy
  • Prevalence
  • Risk Factors
  • Smoldering Multiple Myeloma

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